The Chinese economy: stimulus without rebalancing


Alicia García-Herrero
 Jianwei Xu

China’s growth model has continued to rely on expanding industrial capacity and exporting to the world, rather than on domestic consumption. This has led to a significant increase in China’s global share of manufactured exports and has raised concerns about overcapacity (Figure 1; Xu, 2025). The imbalance arises because China’s expanding production capacity is outpacing domestic demand. Overcapacity would be best addressed by boosting domestic demand, particularly through stronger household consumption.

Πηγή: www.bruegel.org

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